Tuesday, March 13, 2012

The Gold Price Nearly Touched the Crucial Resistance at $1,705 Needs to Close Above $1,715

Gold Price Close Today : 1698.10 Change : 14.80 or 0.88% Silver Price Close
Today : 3378.90 Change : 24.6 cents or 0.73% Gold Silver Ratio Today : 50.256
Change : 0.073 or 0.14% Silver Gold Ratio Today : 0.01990 Change : -0.000029 or
-0.14% Platinum Price Close Today : 1663.00 Change : 28.75 or 1.76% Palladium
Price Close Today : 708.00 Change : 19.50 or 2.83% S&P 500 : 1,365.91 Change :
13.28 or 0.98% Dow In GOLD$ : $157.13 Change : $ (0.50) or -0.32% Dow in GOLD oz
: 7.601 Change : -0.024 or -0.32% Dow in SILVER oz : 382.02 Change : -0.70 or
-0.18% Dow Industrial : 12,907.94 Change : 70.61 or 0.55% US Dollar Index :
79.23 Change : -0.485 or -0.61% The GOLD PRICE pushed nearly to the crucial
resistance at $1,705 with a $1,703.80 high today. Closed below the $1,700 at
$1,698.10 on Comex, up $14.80. Even if the GOLD PRICE climbs to $1,715 it won't
convince me that it has completed its correction. Nope, it would have to close
ABOVE $1,715, maybe $1,725. The SILVER PRICE didn't gain as much as gold today,
so the GOLD/SILVER RATIO rose from 50.183 to 50.256. That non-confirmation
itself jaundices the eye. Silver added 24.6c to close Comex at 3378.9c. It
bounced to 3415c, but resistance at that height wrestled silver back down to
that 3378.9. Above 3400c more resistance awaits, stoutly armed, at 3450c. What
if I am wrong? Well, in that alternate universe silver has only corrected back
down to and slightly violated that down trend line it broke through in
mid-March, and day before yesterday's low just above the 50 DMA played out the
oft-seen touchback ("Final Kiss Good-bye") that proves the breakout. Possible,
but I can't get into that universe from here. The chart and my suspicion are
jamming my de-materializer. Unlike some folks, I don't mind saying "I told y'all
so" especially when it concerns rotten parasites in banking and government. CNBC
on 6 March reported "Huge Spike in Repeat Foreclosures." "Thousands of
foreclosures that were stuck in process due to delays over the so-called
'Robo-signing' paperwork scandal are working their way through a revamped
banking system and heading toward final bank repossession." When the state
attorneys general announced their big compact with the big banks about
robo-signing, which the banks signed so they could re-create mortgage documents
they lacked for foreclosure, I told y'all that it was a deal of, by, and for the
banks. They gave up a piddling $2,000 a head to those they had wronged, and in
return got government- encouraged rewriting of mortgages to perfect their bad
title. Thus were the mortgagees lured to their doom. Foreclosure surged 28% in
January. Only one question remains, Were the attorneys general snookered, or
corrupted? Odd, odd, 5 day gold and Dow charts share a resemblance, so I reckon
I am going to have to tell y'all to listen to what I mean, not what I say.
Yesterday I made much of stocks' and gold's and silver's failure to rise above
their breakdown points as proof they were in trouble, but today they rose into
those areas. Does that disprove my argument? Not in my view. Markets can ease up
into that area where they broke down, and still follow through downside. They
can even keep on rising above the breakdown, and leave behind a deadly double
top, an even surer sign that they will drop more. Okay, so interpreting a chart
is an art. When I paint y'all a picture, I don't always have time to tell you
how to wash out the brush. Start with stocks. On a five day chart they today
rose through the 12,850 area I mentioned yesterday. Dow added 70.61 points to
close 12,907.94 (0.55%). That's still below the breakdown at 12,950 (exactly),
and might become only a double top by reaching for 13,000. Why would I look for
a double top? Context. Background. This break and recovery is played out against
an aging (since 1 October 2011) rally, that (2) built into a large, VERY bearish
rising wedge. It asketh a whole lot to expect a market that long growing
overbought to extend a rally. Add (3), the Dow today closed below its 20 day
moving average (12,915.74). Any way you cut it, it's over for the Dow for a
while. S&P500 tagged along, rising 0.98% (13.28) to 1,365.91. Y'all watch: truth
is the daughter of time. The US DOLLAR INDEX lengthened its correction by
dropping a meaty 48.5 basis points (0.62%) to 79.227. Dropping below 79.30 was
sloppy, and a low at 79.163 looks positively slovenly. But what is the dollar
trying to protect? Really just that 79.00 psychological support and the 20 DMA
(79.06). It will probably hold and the dollar will resume advancing. What goosed
stocks today and the euro with them? The deadline for the elusive Greek Debt
Deal passed with a "majority" of investors signing on. Thus the world waxes
again optimistic, until the Deal comes unglued again, as 'twill, and soon. Euro
gained 0.92% (big for a currency) to 1.3270. Here's another reason why I
wouldn't trade currencies even with your money, because this reaction is wholly
irrational. BWDIK? Not a single currency in the world is worth backed by as much
as a bus token. The wave of schizo-optimism pushed traders out of the yen today.
It dropped 0.58% to 122.62c/Y100 (Y81.55/US$1). Looks looney. Two gappy
reversals in three days. Help. Argentum et aurum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and
silver must be bought. - Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger The-MoneyChanger.com
© 2012, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including
electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please
remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest
with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least
$3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66;
stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one
ounce of gold; US$ or US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate
bubble has burst, primary trend down. WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and
warned: Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend
them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them
for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not
as a timing service for futures. NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver
Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one
or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me
paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps. NOR do I recommend trading
futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not
for the inexperienced. NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or
with debt. What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your
own hands. One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.

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