Friday, September 16, 2011

6 Under-the-Radar Charts to Watch

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tdp2664 InvestorPlace As anyone who is involved in the markets is undoubtedly aware, it's a tough time to find compelling ideas. Sure, any number of stocks look undervalued right now, but how can you pull the trigger on a buy order when any morning might bring a new chapter in the European crisis? The result is that correlations have moved near record highs , and finding charts that don't mirror the S&P 500 is a tall order. There are, however, a few charts that are notable for their divergence from the stock market 's performance and their importance as indicators of both sentiment and the global economic outlook. Below are six to put on your watch list and monitor closely for signs of a breakdown. The direction of these securities could provide a clue as to the next move for the broader global financial markets. Emerging Markets First up are the charts of two key emerging-market segments: Brazil and Chinese real estate. The Brazilian stock market has long been a leading indicator for astute investors, and it is all the more important today given the importance of the emerging-markets economies to the global growth outlook. Significantly, the iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund ETF (NYSE: EWZ ) is perched right on long-term support near the $60 level. Below lies a technical no-man's land that could provide the fuel for a more serious selloff if the EWZ can't hold its ground here: Perhaps even more important is the technical status of a lesser-known exchange-traded fund called the Guggenheim China Real Estate ETF (NYSE: TAO ). According to etftrends.com, the fund "tries to reflect the performance of the AlphaShares China Real Estate Index , which holds publicly traded companies and real estate investment trusts (REITs) that generate a majority of their revenues from real estate development, management and/or ownership of property in China, Hong Kong and Macau." While the ETF itself is small, with under $30 million in assets and a daily average trading volume of only about 38,000 shares, one could argue that the sector it represents is one of the most important to the global economy. China's real estate market is generally seen as being in a bubble, and the bursting of that bubble would have serious ramifications for the rest of the world. That's why investors need to watch this ETF for a breakdown below its support level at $15. As is the case with EWZ, the last volume below this support was registered more than two years ago.



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