Monday, May 16, 2011

Why There’s Still Hope for the Bulls

tdp2664
InvestorPlace
The U.S. dollar has broken to new highs, commodities have fallen sharply, and emerging markets stocks have been crushed. That's the bad news. But here's the good news: Despite the turmoil in other markets, the S&P 500 is stubbornly holding its support at its March high of 1,332. Thursday's low was 1,332 and Friday's low was 1,333. Now consider the similarities of the charts of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, despite their very different makeup. The Nasdaq is holding above its March high, as well as the support line (black dashes) drawn from the March high to the April high, like the S&P 500, and its chart is even slightly stronger than the 500's since it is still holding above its 20-day moving average (green line) and the intermediate trendline just below 2,800 (red dashes).  And both indices are well above an important 50-day moving average (blue line), which, if broken, would put the intermediate-term uptrend in doubt. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is so strong that it hasn't even pulled back to its April "deep V" breakout line at 12,400 to 12,455. It is important to remember that a market is generally considered healthy when it is led by the highest quality stocks, and none is higher, as a group, than the Dow 30. With the toughest six months of the year ahead of us, there is no way to know for sure which way this situation will break. But it can't be denied that stocks have shown a remarkable ability to hold at a crucial support area in the face of the most unsettling news — and that's usually constructive for the bulls. For one blue chip delivering solid gains, see the Trade of the Day . Today’s Trading Landscape To see a list of the companies reporting earnings today, click here . For a list of this week’s economic reports due out, click here .



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